Researchers from the Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi used radiation data from global climate models available under the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to analyse the twin impacts of climate change and air pollution on SPV performance. The CMIP6 is a leading group of models that uses different data sets to project the future impacts of climate change under various emission scenarios.
The study, using data from 1985 to 2014 as a baseline to predict a change from 2041 to 2050, concludes that SPV’s efficacy may decrease by 3.3% by the middle of the century. Based on current solar power production levels, the study estimates a loss of 600 to 840 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of electricity annually.
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