Decarbonisation Pathways for Southeast Asia - Main report

Indonesia aims to transition from coal to renewable energy. In November 2023, Indonesia's Comprehensive Investment and Policy Plan (CIPP) was published, outlining the power sector emissions reduction roadmap. However, critical elements are missing. This report develops a high-ambition pathway for coal transition by combining a global integrated assessment model (GCAM), a power system dispatch model (PLEXOS), and bottom-up analyses. Download here.

Authored by Akbar Bagaskara,  Maria A. Borrero, Ryna Cui, Claire Squire, Jiehong Lou, Camryn Dahl, Molly Schreier, Raditya Wiranegara, Fabby Tumiwa, Nate Hultman, Deon Arinaldo.

This paper by the Climate Finance Network Thailand evaluates the financial implications of decommissioning coal and gas power plants in Thailand. Using discounted cash flow analysis, it examines three scenarios, highlighting potential stranded asset risks and the need for strategic energy transition planning aligned with climate goals.

Access the report here.

This report by GEM examines Southeast Asia’s energy future, comparing the economic and environmental impacts of expanding gas infrastructure with investing in renewable energy. It highlights regional gas projects and renewable potential, providing essential insights for sustainable energy planning.

Access the report here.

This report provides background information for the modelling exercise on “Decarbonisation pathways for Southeast Asia. The document describes the current energy systems in the region and describes modelling assumptions and their rational. The report was developed by Artelys and Fraunhofer ISI on behalf of the CASE consortium

The research brief 'Navigating the Transition to Net-zero Emissions in Southeast Asia - Energy Security, the Role of Gaseous Energy Carriers and Renewables-based Electrification’ underscores that rapid expansion of renewable electricity and electrification of energy end users are essential, not only to achieve climate mitigation targets but also to boost energy security and economic development across Southeast Asia. Focusing on Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam, and the Philippines – four countries that are part of the project “Clean, Affordable and Secure Energy for Southeast Asia” (CASE) – the brief analyses net-zero pathways under two different decarbonisation scenarios – one centred on reducing fossil-fuel use through the deep electrification of energy demand, and the other achieving these reductions through the use of renewable gases such as hydrogen.