Sun and wind for net zero - benchmarking renewables growth in South, Southeast and East Asia

04 Mar 2024

Authors: Mentari Pujantoro, Mathis Rogner
Authoring Organisation: Agora Energiewende
Posted At: 11-2023

The message arising from global net-zero scenarios is clear: getting to climate neutrality requires adding 1000 GW of wind and solar power every year until mid-century, while also gradually electrifying most end-use sectors (IEA, 2022; IRENA, 2022).  While useful, such global top-down assessments are often unable to capture local specifics, and thus provide little help to those seeking to develop energy transition roadmaps consistent with their domestic climate targets. What do these global numbers concretely mean for policy makers in South, Southeast and East Asia?

To answer this question, Agora Energiewende reviewed more than 35 long-term energy scenarios from Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Taiwan, China*. These scenarios are bottom-up analyses carried out by local institutions in close consultation with various stakeholders. They consider specific local constraints and political economy developments, including technology costs, resource potentials and social development targets. As such, they complement global analyses such as those by the IEA and IRENA.  

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